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Articles

Why some researchers think I’m wrong about social media and mental illness

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Is it my fault if you can't handle the truth? (2019)

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Lessons from a Pessimist: Make Your Pessimism Productive

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Effective Altruism’s obsession with AI safety helps bury bad behavior

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Elitism as the mid-career growth engine

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Yes, Crypto Is All a Scam

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Fields where it matters, fields where you can thrive on BS alone, and in between

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Dilution of expertise in the rise and fall of collective innovation

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Things to argue about over the holidays instead of politics

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We are drowning in information while starving for wisdom (2021)

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Eight studies reveal a bias in human imagination

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Pathologies of the attention economy

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Mandated diversity statement drives Jonathan Haidt to quit academic society

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Pessimism is a barrier to progress

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Rules for Weird Ideas

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Arguing from compassion (2021)

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Why is it traitorous to understand the people you disagree with?

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John Rawls and the “Veil of Ignorance” (2020)

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We are all confident idiots (2014)

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Is everything falling apart?

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Persuasion and the Prestige Paradox (2021)

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Heuristics that almost always work

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My values, howled into the wind

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Groups never admit failure

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An underrated idea: the priority view

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Decentralized Woo Hoo

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Epistemic Minor Leagues

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Stop Equating “Science” with Truth (2017)

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Futarchy: Robin Hanson on prediction markets

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Experts vs elites

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Towards a taxonomy of cliches in Space Opera (2016)

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Why is it so hard to be rational?

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The Case for Optimism

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Crazy New Ideas

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Critical Thinking Isn't Just a Process

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The nihilism of r/wallstreetbets

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Weak Men Are Superweapons (2014)

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Are Experts Real?

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Where Are All the Successful Rationalists?

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Is Stupidity Expanding? Some Hypotheses

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GPT-3 generated Nassim Taleb aphorisms

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‘Strong Opinions, Weakly Held’ Doesn't Work That Well

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Orthodox Privilege

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The Contagion of Concern: Game theory of how anxiety spreads

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The “Majority Illusion” in Social Networks (2016)

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Life Is Made of Unfair Coin Flips

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You have a set amount of “weirdness points” – spend them wisely (2014)

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The Dark Side of Expertise

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The Two Kinds of Moderate

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Eigenmorality (2014)

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What’s Wrong with Bayes

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Novelty and Heresy

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When Having Friends Is More Alluring Than Being Right

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Surprisingly popular

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Epistemic Learned Helplessness (2013)

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Well-Meaning Bad Ideas Spoiling a Generation

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Normalization of Deviance

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A three-page paper that shook philosophy, with lessons for software engineers

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The Market for Lemons

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Intellectual humility: the importance of knowing you might be wrong

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How to Be an Expert in a Changing World (2014)

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Everyone is totally just winging it, all the time (2014)

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The Approval Economy

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Research Finds Tipping Point for Large-Scale Social Change

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Escape the echo chamber

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Thinking Critically About Social Justice

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Designing Social Systems Without Causing Depression and War

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Good engineers make terrible leaders

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Of the Liberty of Thought and Discussion (1869)

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Taking Children Seriously

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Inadequacy and Modesty

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The prior can generally only be understood in the context of the likelihood

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Is there a tension between creativity and accuracy?

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The Right to Attention in an Age of Distraction

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The Case for More Intellectual Humility

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Nobody Knows What They're Doing (2013)

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Our Favorite Narrative Cliche: A World Filled with Idiots (2013)

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Why Experts Make Bad Teachers

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Final Statement on the LambdaConf Controversy

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The ages of distraction

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What “Worse is Better vs. The Right Thing” is really about (2012)

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Costs of under-confidence

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I was denied admission to a PhD program because of my perceived political views

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Users Rationally Rejecting Security Advice (2009)

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A social-network illusion that makes things appear more popular than they are

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How to Be an Expert in a Changing World

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A Critical Look at Salaried Professionals and the Soul-Battering System (2001)

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Is Food the New Sex? (2009)

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Our Favorite Cliché: A World Filled with Idiots

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The Death Of Expertise

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Philosophy and the practice of Bayesian statistics [pdf]

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Quote Meritocracy Unquote

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The Alchian-Allen Theorem

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What “Worse is Better vs The Right Thing” is really about

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A profitable, growing, useful, legal, well-loved... failure

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People Aren't Smart Enough for Democracy to Flourish, Scientists Say

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On Intellectual Dishonesty

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Eliezer Yudkowsky: Is That Your True Rejection?

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Schneier: The Dishonest Minority: Security and its Role in Modern Society

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Intellectual hipsters and meta-contrarians

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Worst-Case Thinking

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Reg Braithwaite on Optimism

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Orthodox Privilege (2020)

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Persuasion through status rather than argument

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A math professor who objects to diversity statements

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Epistemic Learned Helplessness (2019)

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Prediction markets have an elections problem

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MIT abandons requirement of DEI statements for hiring and promotions

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Deterioration of local community a major driver of loss of play-based childhood

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Nobody knows what's going on

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Bayesian Statistics: The three cultures

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