Alexandria Library

A curated collection of awesome articles

Here are some ressources related to Decision-making, Finance, Probability. Hoping you will find learning material, alternative tools or just some interesting stuff.

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Articles

Car alarms and smoke alarms: tradeoff between sensitivity and specificity (2012)
See discussion (78 comments, 134 points) - Archive
P < 0.05 Considered Harmful
See discussion (86 comments, 122 points) - Archive
Reversible and irreversible decisions (2018)
See discussion (39 comments, 110 points) - Archive
Why people make dumb financial decisions on purpose
See discussion (164 comments, 120 points) - Archive
People spend too much time on decisions with equally satisfying outcomes
See discussion (121 comments, 252 points) - Archive
How to make decisions like a poker player
See discussion (152 comments, 162 points) - Archive
Persist or let it go: a study of entrepreneurial decision making
See discussion (85 comments, 124 points) - Archive
Optimal quitting
See discussion (30 comments, 98 points) - Archive
The Greedy Doctor Problem
See discussion (170 comments, 162 points) - Archive
Byrne Hobart on the financialisation of everything
See discussion (7 comments, 100 points) - Archive
No general method to detect fraud
See discussion (101 comments, 186 points) - Archive
Kelly Criterion – how to calculate optimal bet sizes
See discussion (129 comments, 272 points) - Archive
Ergodicity, What's It Mean
See discussion (100 comments, 125 points) - Archive
Are You Trading or Gambling?
See discussion (400 comments, 372 points) - Archive
On moving from statistics to machine learning, the final stage of grief (2019)
See discussion (103 comments, 175 points) - Archive
The Value of Life
See discussion (72 comments, 96 points) - Archive
On the Folly of Rewarding A, While Hoping for B (1975) [pdf]
See discussion (48 comments, 133 points) - Archive
“Pain Is the Only School-Teacher”
See discussion (59 comments, 81 points) - Archive
In marginal decisions, favour action over inaction
See discussion (80 comments, 146 points) - Archive
Never attribute to stupidity what is adequately explained by opportunity cost
See discussion (91 comments, 288 points) - Archive
The Illusion of Certainty
See discussion (33 comments, 156 points) - Archive
People may know the best decision and not make it: study
See discussion (68 comments, 201 points) - Archive
Forecasting with uncertainty
See discussion (20 comments, 84 points) - Archive
Statistical Consequences of Fat Tails by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
See discussion (31 comments, 89 points) - Archive
Want to make good business decisions? Learn causality
See discussion (25 comments, 187 points) - Archive
Ignore Sunk Costs (2009)
See discussion (98 comments, 149 points) - Archive
You May Be Better Off Picking Stocks at Random, Study Finds
See discussion (77 comments, 146 points) - Archive
Information is like snacks, money, and drugs to the brain
See discussion (125 comments, 478 points) - Archive
Modeling Life Outcomes with Stochastic Methods
See discussion (6 comments, 91 points) - Archive
Kelly Criterion (2007)
See discussion (96 comments, 164 points) - Archive
How to Make a Big Decision
See discussion (91 comments, 350 points) - Archive
If you’re unsure whether to quit your job or break up, you probably should
See discussion (208 comments, 290 points) - Archive
Judge the value of what you have by what you had to give up to get it
See discussion (35 comments, 121 points) - Archive
Nassim Taleb, Absorbent Barriers and House Money
See discussion (74 comments, 149 points) - Archive
Is there data on the quality of management decisions?
See discussion (61 comments, 178 points) - Archive
The Line Between Aggressive and Crazy
See discussion (37 comments, 171 points) - Archive
How slot machines are designed to be addictive
See discussion (193 comments, 364 points) - Archive
The Logic of Risk Taking
See discussion (74 comments, 160 points) - Archive
Heads or Tails: The Impact of a Coin Toss on Major Life Decisions and Happiness [pdf]
See discussion (82 comments, 172 points) - Archive
The Neuroscience Behind Bad Decisions
See discussion (30 comments, 82 points) - Archive
Playing “Moneyball” on EA FIFA 16
See discussion (45 comments, 219 points) - Archive
What I Learned from Losing $200M
See discussion (53 comments, 153 points) - Archive
Why I don't trade stocks and (probably) neither should you
See discussion (310 comments, 387 points) - Archive
Play Fantasy Even If You Hate Football
See discussion (65 comments, 89 points) - Archive
Empty-Stomach Intelligence
See discussion (70 comments, 94 points) - Archive
"Attrition is a group statistic. It doesn't apply to me."
See discussion (110 comments, 185 points) - Archive
The Dumbest Idea In The World: Maximizing Shareholder Value
See discussion (135 comments, 376 points) - Archive
Why do humans procrastinate?
See discussion (84 comments, 264 points) - Archive
The Dilbert Black Swan Portfolio: a skeptical/practical guide to investing
See discussion (90 comments, 114 points) - Archive
How to Buy an iPhone at the Worst Possible Time
See discussion (72 comments, 97 points) - Archive
Paul Buchheit: Evaluating risk and opportunity (as a human)
See discussion (27 comments, 94 points) - Archive
A simple dice game shines a bit of light on the psychology of regret
See discussion (68 comments, 132 points) - Archive
Win your fantasy league using operations research
See discussion (55 comments, 167 points) - Archive
The irrational hungry judge effect revisited (2023)
See discussion (212 comments, 260 points) - Archive